27 OCTOBER 1939, Page 20

THE FUTURE OF GERMANY

lInt,—You may be interested in a few notes, based on reliable sources, on probable developments in Germany during the next few months.

The will, power and opportunities of the German upper and middle classes to resist the sovietising of the Reich cannot be underestimated. If the German generals cannot get rid of the Nazi leaders after the first defeat by attributing the defeat to Hitler being responsible for the plan of campaign, there is very little chance of their reasserting themselves. Then the Communists will arrange a 3oth of June with Hitler and his crowd as victims and will try to wage a revolutionary war. All this will happen within the Nazi Party. The German middle classes have very little to lose.

Co-operation between Russia and Germany goes much further than most people care to admit, as the demands on Turkey and Finland show. Hitler's main interest is to involve Britain in a war against Russia, and he hopes to achieve this by getting Russia embroiled in Scandinavia.

Hitler realises that Britain is bound to win a war over an issue Democracy v. Hitlerism—though the British Government is not at all anxious to conduct the war on these lines. He therefore is busy preparing the ground for an entirely new issue: Western Capitalism against National Revolutionary Socialism. Once the Allied Governments tend to wage a war on the former issue—after having spent considerable time on putting their propaganda machine in order—Hitler will turn round and present a new face. He will endeavour to enlist the support of the Arabs against the Turks (with very little chance of success), of the Indians and of the Chinese. It will be in the interests of Russia to proceed on the same lines.

Behind tha screen of the Siegfried Line, Hitler endeavours to bring about such radical changes in the distribution of the various races in the whole area between the Baltic and the Black Sea so as to make the restitution of Poland and Czecho- Slovakia practically impossible. This cannot be done without the support of Russia and the co-operation of the Danubian States, who will be glad to get rid of their German minorities. The Poles and Czechs, however, will be dispersed over a wide area. Germany's ethnic frontier in the East will be straightened out.

It would be advisable to suggest a conference of Austrian, Czech and Polish representatives to agree—or disagree—on a plan of future loyal co-operation. This co-operation is a prerequisite to the establishment of peaceful and stable condi- tions in Central and Eastern Europe. It is difficult for any Government to state war aims in the absence of such