30 NOVEMBER 1945, Page 16

Will it be Warm ?

Is there any hard evidence that the weather conforms to the famous cold and hot spells outlined by Buchan? So far as my own tests go his cold spells, especially that from the 9th to the tath of May, are much more accurate to facts than his warm spells. It may amuse some observers to test the next warm spell, which is dated December 3-14. Weather forecasting has of course, greatly improved of late, thanks chiefly to the far-flung Observations taken in the upper air, which have especially facilitated forecasts of temperature ; yet none Of the official prophets has any confidence in prognosticating the weather even a week in advance. They are excelled, at least in courage, by the village prophet, who still holds that a bumper crop of berries is provided against a hard winter. Statistical denials have done little to undermine the faith. Nevertheless, the rustic prophet has been, as they say, eliminated. I put a leading question to one, and he made the devastating answer: "The B.B.C. do say—"!