THE TRADE OUTLOOK.
It is obvious, however, that, as regards the latter half of the year, much must depend upon how far we succeed in solving our industrial problems. A good deal of the optimism felt in some quarters with regard to the new year is based upon the belief that there will be an expan- sion in international trade activity, some even believing that before the end of the year we may get improved conditions in countries like China and Russia of a character tending to stimulate general trade. In that case, of course, it may be that we shall see influences operating before the end of the year in the direction of a diversion of capital from securities to trade activities and that is a tendency for which holders of all stocks, and not least investment stocks, will do well to watch very closely. The effect of a revival in international trade upon con- ditions here, however, must largely depend upon whether, by reducing our costs of production and increasing our output, we are able to take our full share in such increased .activity.